A significant shift is happening in South Asia. India's long-standing claim over Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir (PoK) is gaining strength, thanks to a strategic approach spearheaded by India's National Security Advisor, Ajit Doval. For the first time in history, key regional players are openly supporting India's position, leaving Pakistan in a tough spot. This blog post explores how India is surrounding Pakistan on multiple fronts and what this means for the future of the region.
Pakistan Faces Isolation: A Geopolitical Shift
Pakistan is finding itself increasingly isolated on the world stage. Diplomatic moves and recent events show a clear change in how regional powers view Pakistan's control over Kashmir. This change is shaking Pakistan's military and political leaders. They now see their influence shrinking and their borders becoming less secure. This situation is the result of a planned strategy to reclaim PoK and weaken Pakistan.
Balochistan Stands with India
One of the biggest developments is the strong support coming from Balochistan. Balochistan makes up about 44% of Pakistan's total landmass. Its people have fought for independence since 1947. Marri Baloch, a diplomat and member of the Free Balochistan Movement, recently made a powerful statement. He declared that Balochistan believes PoK should be integrated with India. He called Pakistan's control over PoK "illegal and oppressive" and said the suffering of its people must end.
This leader stated, "The Republic of Balochistan stands shoulder to shoulder with Bharat." This declaration is very important because it shows a clear break from Pakistan's internal territories. Balochistan views Pakistan's army as its enemy, just as India does. This shared challenge brings Balochistan and India together, helping India's cause.
Afghanistan Taliban Changes Stance on Kashmir
Adding to Pakistan's challenges, the Afghan Taliban government has, for the first time, recognized PoK as a part of India. Afghanistan’s Foreign Minister recently met with India’s External Affairs Minister in Delhi. Following this meeting, it was stated that India and Afghanistan are "contiguous neighbors." This statement highlights the 106-kilometer Wakhan Corridor, a physical border between the two countries that Pakistan currently occupies.
This recognition from Afghanistan is a major blow to Pakistan. For years, militants from Afghanistan fought against India over Kashmir. Now, the Taliban is aligning with India against Pakistan. This shift has caused protests in Pakistan, with people questioning Afghanistan's change of heart. Meanwhile, anti-Pakistan protests have also broken out in PoK, where locals have started saying they do not want to remain with Pakistan.
Operation Sindoor and Its Aftermath
Recent military actions by India, referred to as "Operation Sindoor," have also contributed to Pakistan's current difficulties. India launched strikes that reportedly damaged 11 Pakistani airbases. These attacks also destroyed what India called "dirty" mosques and madrassas, targeting areas believed to harbor extremist activities. India claimed to have shot down multiple Pakistani jets and provided satellite images and drone footage as proof.
Pakistan denied these claims, but the evidence presented by India to the world media painted a different picture. India's Defense Minister, Rajnath Singh, has openly stated that India will not give up its claim on PoK. The world is watching, and Pakistan's inability to provide convincing counter-evidence has hurt its credibility.
Pakistan's Four-Front Nightmare
Pakistan now faces what can be described as a four-front nightmare. Traditionally, Pakistan tried to push India into a two-front war. However, India's current strategy has turned the tables, creating pressure on Pakistan from multiple directions:
- East: India continues its strong military and diplomatic pressure.
- West: Afghanistan, under the Taliban government, is aligning with India and has reportedly taken control of several Pakistani border posts, capturing thousands of Pakistani army personnel. There are even reports of Indian fighter jets being seen at the Bagram base in Afghanistan.
- Internal Balochistan: The growing independence movement in Balochistan, with its leaders openly supporting India, weakens Pakistan from within.
- Internal PoK Protests: The people of PoK are openly protesting against Pakistani rule, further adding to the internal instability.
Pakistan's army has always feared fighting a one-front war, let alone four. This situation severely strains their military resources and morale.
Historical Claims and International Isolation
India's claim over Kashmir is rooted in history. The capital of Kashmir, Srinagar, was founded by Emperor Ashoka in 250 BC. In 1947, Maharaja Hari Singh, the ruler of Kashmir, officially made Kashmir a part of India. Pakistan's occupation of parts of Kashmir is viewed as illegal and a betrayal, occurring in the dark of night.
Internationally, Pakistan is becoming increasingly isolated. For example, during the recent conflict with Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia, despite having agreements with Pakistan, did not intervene or issue any diplomatic statements against the Taliban. This inaction shows where Saudi Arabia's interests truly lie and confirms Pakistan's lack of strong allies in crucial moments. The world is starting to acknowledge the truth: Pakistan's claims are weak, and its diplomatic, military, and moral standing is at an all-time low.
What's Next for PoK and South Asia?
The current situation suggests that Pakistan is being pushed to a point where military conflict with India seems more likely than ever before. India is now challenging Pakistan, whereas historically, Pakistan would provoke India. Pakistan is struggling to respond effectively.
Many believe India will continue its strategy to reclaim PoK, perhaps not all at once, but in smaller, strategic steps. The idea is to take back areas bit by bit, ensuring the safety of the people and expelling those who have caused trouble. This patient approach aims to eventually free all of PoK.
This new reality is reshaping the geopolitical map of South Asia. The combined pressure from India, Afghanistan, Balochistan, and the people of PoK creates a difficult future for Pakistan. The question now is not if the map will be redrawn, but how much and how soon.
.png)